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	<title>Island 94 &#187; mathematics</title>
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	<description>Ben Sheldon&#039;s lost &#38; found</description>
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		<title>The event is a tyrant</title>
		<link>http://www.island94.org/2011/07/the-event-is-a-tyrant/</link>
		<comments>http://www.island94.org/2011/07/the-event-is-a-tyrant/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jul 2011 11:35:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ben</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[journalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mathematics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[news]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.island94.org/?p=2749</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Charles Seife on journalism, news pegs and polls in Proofiness: The dark arts of mathematical deception: Most journalists are primarily event-gatherers, picking and packing the choicest and freshest events to present to their audiences. Every time there is a sufficiently interesting or important event of some sort---a plane crash, say, or an earthquake---journalists rush in [...]<p><a href="http://www.island94.org/2011/07/the-event-is-a-tyrant/">&#9734; Permalink</a></p>


<strong>Related posts:</strong><ol><li><a href='http://www.island94.org/2011/06/minimal-mass/' rel='bookmark' title='Minimal Mass'>Minimal Mass</a> <small>I was searching for something else in Google Reader, but it seemed timely to resurface this note: A great example...</small></li>
<li><a href='http://www.island94.org/2011/06/data-divides-and-umbrellafication/' rel='bookmark' title='Data divides and umbrellafication'>Data divides and umbrellafication</a> <small>Jesse Lichtenstein in “Transparency for All”, writing for Wired: The concern that open data may simply empower the empowered is...</small></li>
</ol>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Charles Seife on journalism, news pegs and polls in <em>Proofiness: The dark arts of mathematical deception</em>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Most journalists are primarily event-gatherers, picking and packing the choicest and freshest events to present to their audiences. Every time there is a sufficiently interesting or important event of some sort---a plane crash, say, or an earthquake---journalists rush in to relay the story. However, without an event to report, journalists are almost helpless. When there's no event, almost by definition, there's no news for them to report. As journalist Walter Lippmann put it in the 1920s:</p>
<blockquote><p>It may be the act of going into bankruptcy, it may be a fire, a collision, an assault, a riot, an arrest, a denunciation, the introduction of a bill, a speech, a vote, a meeting, the expressed opinion of a well known citizen, an editorial in a newspaper, a sale, a wage-schedule, a price change, the proposal to build a bridge. There must be a manifestation. The course of events must assume a certain definable shape, and until it is in a phase where some aspect is an accomplished fact, news does not separate itself from the ocean of possible truth.</p></blockquote>
<p>To a journalist, the event is a tyrant. It is the authority that grants him liberty to speak. And this liberty is typically only given for a short amount of time. Unless the event is extraordinarily salacious or deadly or important, the journalist must move on to other topics quickly, as his powers to attract an audience rapidly wane as the event ages. He has a day or two or three to talk about an explosion or child abductions before he must once more hold his tongue, at least until the next event.</p>
<p>To a reporter who's bubbling with ideas to write about, this can be terribly frustrating. Lots of interesting and important developments happen as a gradual trickle, rather than in a series of discrete, reportable events. However, journalists generally can't write about broad trends or abstract ideas until they find what is called a "news peg"---a timely event that the reporter can tie, no matter how tenuously, to the subject that he really wants to talk about. For example, a journalist who has a vague hankering to write about his suspicions that airline safety has been getting worse would keep an eye out for a news peg of some sort---any event that might provide a convenient excuse for publishing the story. A high-profile plane crash would be an ideal peg, but other lesser events---perhaps not newsworthy on their own---would also suffice. A near miss would do. So would an incident where a pilot gets fired for showing up on the job drunk. Reports are also good news pegs; the journalist probably wouldn't have to wait long before the FAA or some other government agency publishes a report or generates a new statistic about transportation that might imbue the piece with timeliness. Failing that, there's always an anniversary of some disaster or another; if desperate, the reporter can dust off TWA 8OO or the Andes plane crash or even the R101 airship disaster to write a piece at the appropriate time. For a news peg need not even be a real event; it can be a fake one.</p>
<p>A real event tends to be spontaneous rather than planned; news happens on its own timetable. Even if the event isn't a complete surprise (everybody knows that an election is coming, for example), its outcome is at least somewhat unpredictable. A real event can be complex; it might take months or years to tease out its significance and it might never be understood fully. A fake event---what historian Daniel Boorstin dubbed epseudoevent---tends to be just the opposite. Where real news is organic, pseudoevents are synthetic. A pseudoevent is planned rather than spontaneous. It occurs at a convenient time and at an accessible location. Any unpredictability is kept to a minimum. A good pseudoevent is simple and easy to understand. And it has a purpose. A pseudoevent like the presentation of a political speech or the orchestrated "leak" of a governmental memo is meant, at least in part, specifically for the consumption of the press---and once given an airing by the press, it is meant to get attention, to be talked about, and to shape public opinion. Though a pseudoevent might have information, that information has been massaged and molded with a purpose in mind. A plane crash has no hidden agenda; a speech from the president of Airbus certainly does.</p>
<p>Reporters make little distinction, if any, between events and pseudoevents. Both are useful; pseudoevents can serve as perfectly serviceable news pegs when an event is not readily available. A speech from the Airbus president can unshackle a reporter, allowing him to riff on the safety of airlines. Reporters are grateful for the freedom that the pseudoevents buy them, even though that freedom comes at the price of being manipulated by the creator of the pseudoevent. As a result, many corporations and government organizations have become adept at manufacturing pseudoevents that quickly get turned into pseudonews.</p>
<p>From the journalist's point of view, the poll is the ultimate pseudoevent---it is entirely under his control. Any time a news organization wishes, it can conduct or commission a poll, whose results it then duly reports. A poll frees journalists from having to wait for news to happen or for others to manufacture pseudoevents for them. Polls allow a news organization to manufacture its own news. It's incredibly liberating.*</p>
<p>What's more, polls allow reporters to bend real events to a convenient timetable, completely freeing them from the less than ideal timing of bona fide news events. During the doldrums of an election season, in the boring stretch when a vote might be weeks or months away, it might seem that news organizations wouldn't be able to talk about the election for lack of any events to report on. Not so. News organizations need only commission polls to give their reporters and talking heads something to pontificate about. Journalists chatter continuously throughout election season as if they were calling a horse race. Pundits spend countless hours rooting through the entrails of whatever national or local polls they can get their hands on, turning each little insignificant result into an important portent of future events. These polls allow the news media to keep their audiences tense and entertained even while crossing the vast, lonely electoral desert in between the results of the primaries---which usually aren't that interesting to begin with---and the general election in November. And as election day comes nigh, the polling gets even more intense. In days of yore, reporters had to wait until the returns were in before announcing the winner of an election. No longer! Exit polls allow the networks to declare a winner before bedtime. Polls are an incredibly powerful tool, and they've become a staple of modern journalism---and not just during election season.</p>
<p><em>* Polls aren't the only way for news organizations to synthesize news. Time's annual Person of the Year issue is a long-running exercise in pseudo-newsy attention grabbing. Top-ten and top-hundred lists are also very effective---and they seem to be proliferating rapidly.</em></p></blockquote>


<p><strong>Related posts:</strong><ol><li><a href='http://www.island94.org/2011/06/minimal-mass/' rel='bookmark' title='Minimal Mass'>Minimal Mass</a> <small>I was searching for something else in Google Reader, but it seemed timely to resurface this note: A great example...</small></li>
<li><a href='http://www.island94.org/2011/06/data-divides-and-umbrellafication/' rel='bookmark' title='Data divides and umbrellafication'>Data divides and umbrellafication</a> <small>Jesse Lichtenstein in “Transparency for All”, writing for Wired: The concern that open data may simply empower the empowered is...</small></li>
</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>More thoughts on an interesting thesaurus</title>
		<link>http://www.island94.org/2007/08/more-thoughts-on-an-interesting-thesaurus/</link>
		<comments>http://www.island94.org/2007/08/more-thoughts-on-an-interesting-thesaurus/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jan 1970 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[language]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mathematics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[panlexicon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[thesaurus]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[My associate, Rebecca, and I have been starting to think critically about Panlexicon.com, the unique, tag-cloud based thesaurus I’ve written about &#60;a href=http://island94.org/node/128″&#62;previously. We’re hoping to put some more time and effort into the project and in the process, learn some more about what’s happening with the language and the underlying structure of the thesaurus [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My associate, <a href="http://circuitous.org">Rebecca</a>, and I have been starting to think critically about <a href="http://panlexicon.com">Panlexicon.com</a>, the unique, tag-cloud based thesaurus I’ve written about &lt;a href=http://island94.org/node/128″&gt;previously</a>.  We’re hoping to put some more time and effort into the project and in the process, learn some more about what’s happening with the language and the underlying structure of the thesaurus taxonomy.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/bensheldon/1178070872/" title="Photo Sharing"><img src="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1214/1178070872_b43fabb5f9_b.jpg" width="500" alt="Panlexicon.com - Thesaurus Visualization" /></a></p>
<p>The thesaurus data we’re working with is the <a href="http://www.gutenberg.org/etext/3202">Moby Thesaurus</a> from the <a href="http://www.gutenberg.org/">Project Gutenburg</a> library of free electronic texts.  Like many thesauruses, it’s structure in an interesting way.  Every word is assigned to one or more groups based on it’s general meaning or idea.  Each group has a keyword, also known as a headword, that is a general encapsulation that idea—this is why, for example in Roget’s, you must first look up a word in the index to acquire its keywords.  Each group has only one keyword, but a keyword can exist in other groups (but as an ordinary word).<!--break--></p>
<p>This thesaurus structure allows us to do some easy simplifications and analysis on the data.  For many functions, we can treat the groups as supernodes, performing operations and storing connections upon them in place of the words themselves.  For example, when determining relatedness between words, we only have compare the groups they are a part of; while there are approximately 100,000 words in our database, there are only 30,000 groups, which greatly diminishes the size and complexity of the data set we’re working on.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/bensheldon/1178070558/" title="Photo Sharing"><img src="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1297/1178070558_757312a092.jpg" width="500" height="495" alt="Panlexicon.com - Correspondence Weighting" /></a></p>
<p>Currently Panlexicon works by comparing the overlap between groups of words.  When typing in a search term, Panlexicon looks up all of the groups that word is a member of.  It then returns a list of words that are also in those groups.  The weight of each word (or size in our word cloud model) is calculated according to how many groups—-of those groups that include the search term—that word is a member of.  A property of this is that no other returned word will have a heavier weight than the search term.  When searching multiple terms, Panlexicon creates a set of groups such that all search terms are a member.  In the case when there exists no groups that contain all the search terms, Panlexicon returns nothing.</p>
<p>Already we’re digging into some interesting relations that turn up in the thesaurus data.  For example, one of my favorite linguistic <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eskimo_words_for_snow">myths</a> is that Eskimos have 50 different words for snow.  The supposed lesson was that eskimos had a different conception of snow than us (the non-Eskimos). I always wondered, “Well, is 50 a lot?”  The largest group in our thesaurus has the keyword <em>cut</em> with 1448 related words or synonyms. This is followed by <em>set</em> (1152), <em>turn</em> (1108), <em>run</em> (1025), and <em>color</em> (1007).  That’s quite a bit.</p>
<p>Also, interestingly in our dataset, are the most versatile words.  These words are members of the most groups.  The list shares four out five of the same words as those of the most synonyms, beginning with <em>cut</em>, being a member of 1120 distinct groups.  This is followed by <em>set</em> (928), <em>run</em> (750), <em>turn</em> (715), and <em>check</em> (699).</p>
<p>Right now, we’re investigating paths between words. This will allow us to play the Kevin Bacon game, making connections between words that may not share the same group.  It will be interesting to determine what words are connected (even through a medium) and which ones are disconnected.  Lastly on our list of things to do is determine the eigenvectors of our groups in relation to how their connected to other groups.  This will allow us to determine—without using fancy words like Markov chains—which words are probably <em>used</em> the most.  I say probably because we’re analyzing a taxonomic work, rather than actual speech.  Who knows if they match up; we’ll find out.</p>


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